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Vehicle Sales Expected to Reach 10 Million, Says Edmunds.com

June 26, 2009

SANTA MONICA , Calif. — This month's new-vehicle sales (including fleet sales) are expected to be 887,000 units, a 25.3 percent decrease from June 2008, but a 3.9 percent decrease from May 2009, according to Edmunds.com.

June vehicle sales will be the highest in 2009, with the industry’s seasonally adjusted annual rate expected to reach 10.1 million units.

"The SAAR is finally back in double-digits," observed Jesse Toprak, executive director of industry analysis for Edmunds.com. "We’re still a long way from 16 million unit sales, but things are moving in the right direction."

June 2009 had 25 selling days, one more than last June 2008. When adjusted for this difference, sales decreased 28.3 percent from June 2008. (The chart below sets forth other unadjusted and adjusted comparisons.)

Chrysler

Change from June 2008 (Adjusted for more selling days): -31.9%

Change from June 2008 (Unadjusted for more selling days): -29.1%

Change from May 2009 (Unadjusted for fewer selling days): 5.3%

Ford

Change from June 2008 (Adjusted for more selling days): -19.0%

Change from June 2008 (Unadjusted for more selling days): -15.6%

Change from May 2009 (Unadjusted for fewer selling days): -7.7%

GM

Change from June 2008 (Adjusted for more selling days): -31.7%

Change from June 2008 (Unadjusted for more selling days): -28.9%

Change from May 2009 (Unadjusted for fewer selling days): -2.1%

Honda

Change from June 2008 (Adjusted for more selling days): -34.2%

Change from June 2008 (Unadjusted for more selling days): -31.4%

Change from May 2009 (Unadjusted for fewer selling days): 1.3%

Hyundai

Change from June 2008 (Adjusted for more selling days): -18.1%

Change from June 2008 (Unadjusted for more selling days): -14.7%

Change from May 2009 (Unadjusted for fewer selling days): 6.0%

Nissan

Change from June 2008 (Adjusted for more selling days): -27.2%

Change from June 2008 (Unadjusted for more selling days): -24.2%

Change from May 2009 (Unadjusted for fewer selling days): -14.8%

Toyota

Change from June 2008 (Adjusted for more selling days): -31.5%

Change from June 2008 (Unadjusted for more selling days): -28.7%

Change from May 2009 (Unadjusted for fewer selling days): -9.7%

Industry Total

Change from June 2008 (Adjusted for more selling days): -28.3%

Change from June 2008 (Unadjusted for more selling days): -25.3%

Change from May 2009 (Unadjusted for fewer selling days): -3.9%


The combined monthly U.S. market share for Chrysler, Ford and General Motors (GM) domestic nameplates is estimated to be 47.0 percent in June 2009, up from 46.6 percent in June 2008 and up from 46.5 percent in May 2009.

“An interesting note: minivan sales should be up about 12 percent month-over-month,” Toprak told Edmunds' AutoObserver.com. “With generous incentives drawing attention to this segment, many families are rediscovering minivans as the most practical and least costly way to transport people and things.”

Edmunds.com predicts Chrysler will sell 83,000 units in June 2009, down 29.1 percent compared to June 2008 and up 5.3 percent from May 2009. This would result in a new car market share of 9.4 percent for Chrysler in June 2009, down from 9.9 percent in June 2008 and up from 8.5 percent in May 2009.

Edmunds.com predicts Ford will sell 147,000 units in June 2009, down 15.6 percent compared to June 2008 and down 7.7 percent from May 2009. This would result in a new car market share of 16.6 percent of new car sales in June 2009 for Ford, up from 14.7 percent in June 2008 and down from 17.2 percent in May 2009.

Edmunds.com predicts GM will sell 187,000 units in June 2009, down 28.9 percent compared to June 2008 and down 2.1 percent from May 2009. GM's market share is expected to be 21.1 percent of new vehicle sales in June 2009, down from 22.1 percent in June 2008 and up from 20.7 percent in May 2009.

Edmunds.com predicts Honda will sell 99,000 units in June 2009, down 31.4 percent from June 2008 and up 1.3 percent from May 2009. Honda’s market share is expected to be 11.2 percent in June 2009, down from 12.2 percent in June 2008 and up from 10.7 percent in May 2009.

Edmunds.com predicts Hyundai will sell 67,000 units in June 2009, down 14.7 percent from June 2008 and down 6.0 percent from May 2009. Hyundai’s market share is expected to be 7.5 percent in June 2009, up from 6.6 percent in June 2008 and up from 6.8 percent in May 2009.

Edmunds.com predicts Nissan will sell 57,000 units in June 2009, down 24.2 percent from June 2008 and down 14.8 percent from May 2009. Nissan's market share is expected to be 6.5 percent in June 2009, up slightly from 6.4 percent in June 2008 and down from 7.3 percent in May 2009.

Edmunds.com predicts Toyota will sell 138,000 units in June 2009, down 28.7 percent from June 2008 and 9.7 percent from May 2009. Toyota's market share is expected to be 15.5 percent in June 2009, down from 16.3 percent in June 2008 and down from 16.5 percent in May 2009.

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