Kontos: Used-Vehicle Prices Soften 'Uncharacteristically' in February
February provided “further concrete evidence of softening” of used-vehicle prices, ADESA's Tom Kontos wrote in his monthly Kontos Kommentary.
February provided “further concrete evidence of softening” of used-vehicle prices, ADESA's Tom Kontos wrote in his monthly Kontos Kommentary.
Given last February's sharp dip in pricing, the Manheim Index shows a year-over-year gain of 1.1%, putting it at 124.6 for the month of February. The firm also noted that the crazy tax refund season that was expected to negatively impact dealers never materialized.
Manheim's Tom Webb believes the 0.3% year-over-year decrease could have been much worse considering the "sharply rising" supply of used units.
Wholesale used-vehicle prices in December averaged $10,642, which was essentially flat with the prior month but up 3.9% from a year ago, according to ADESA Analytical Services.
For model years 2008-2014, compact cars realized a wholesale value decline of 0.11% — the lowest level among all small cars. Alternatively, prestige luxury cars and subcompact cars realized the highest wholesale-value declines, with depreciation of 0.69% and 0.64%, respectively.
Small cars (model-year 2008-2014) are making a comeback to open the year, and Black Book believes the segment could be in for a good spring.
Wholesale used-vehicle prices on a mix-, mileage-, and seasonally adjusted basis increased by 0.2% in December, according to Manheim. Compared to December 2015, the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index declined 0.6% to 124.9.
Wholesale used vehicle prices on a mix-, mileage-, and seasonally adjusted basis declined 1% in November, according to Manheim’s Used Vehicle Value Index report. Due to this decline, the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index fell 0.3% from a year ago to 124.7.
For the car segment, wholesale values decreased by 0.56% last week, an improvement over the 0.62% decrease the segment realized the week before. On the truck front, wholesale values decreased by 0.31%, less than the prior week’s depreciation rate of 0.59%.
October’s 3.6% decline in wholesale prices for used vehicles eight years in age was in line with the NADA Used Car Guide’s forecasted range of 3.2% to 3.7%. However, the decline was slightly more than this October than the previous three-year average decline of 3.3% for the period.
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