
Interest Rates Further Squeeze Auto Consumers
Last month’s hike and a potential second increase this month add to a growing list of inflation woes that could continue to dent overall car sales.
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Last month’s hike and a potential second increase this month add to a growing list of inflation woes that could continue to dent overall car sales.
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As we head into the last month of the year, used retail listings have stabilized around 16% below where we started the year.
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Experian’s "State of the Automotive Finance Market: Q3 2021" report finds delinquencies remain lower than pre-pandemic levels.
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November’s seasonally adjusted annual rate of sales is forecast to finish near 13.4 million, down 16% from last year when the sales pace was 15.9 million.
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Days-to-turn for used retail listings have slightly increased and now sits just above 38 days, which is still lower than what is typically expected.
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Values aren’t showing any signs of slowing down, with most expecting this strength to last through the traditional Spring selling season.
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Highlights include a significant spike in dealership profits and skyrocketing demand from dealership groups that want to acquire more stores.
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The Rivian value debate demonstrates how investors can be split into two categories: those that make decisions based on recognizing future themes and those that invest based on traditional financial performance metrics
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Calendar year 2021 has not had typical seasonality patterns as the market has had rapid increases in wholesale values for the majority of the year.
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Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said the committee plans to complete tapering before raising rates, and markets are targeting June as the possible date for the next rate hike.
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We have now had ten consecutive weeks of wholesale value increases, during a time that traditionally experiences large week-over-week declines.
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