Auto ABS Delinquencies Jump 10 Percent on Rising Unemployment, Says Fitch Ratings
Sixty-plus-day delinquency levels on U.S. prime auto loan ABS rose more than 10 percent to reach 0.85 percent in August, as consumers continue to struggle with rising unemployment and reduced access to credit, according to Fitch Ratings.
NEW YORK — Sixty-plus-day delinquency levels on U.S. prime auto loan ABS rose more than 10 percent to 0.85 percent in August, as consumers continue to struggle with rising unemployment and reduced access to credit, according to Fitch Ratings.
"With loss frequency remaining the biggest driver of loss rates on auto ABS, Fitch expects losses to rise further in coming months," said Senior Director Hylton Heard. "That being said, rising losses should remain in check as the resilient wholesale vehicle market should help mitigate loss severity."
Prime auto ABS delinquencies of 60-plus days posted a 10.4 percent jump in August over July's level. The 0.85 percent rate recorded in August is just below the 10-year record high of 0.87 percent, recorded in first quarter earlier this year.
As result of rising frequency, default levels are increasing in tandem. Prime annualized net losses (ANL) rose 6.3 percent in August to 1.85 percent, vs. July. This was the third consecutive monthly increase for the index. In the historically weak fall months, Fitch expects ANL will approach the 2 percent level.
Loss severity is currently moderated by rising used-vehicle values, helping to slow the rate of increase in loss rates in 2009. Reduced supply in the used car market, among other factors, continues to support rising used-vehicle values this year. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index, which tracks the health of the wholesale vehicle market, posted its eighth consecutive monthly increase in August and values are up almost 20 percent from their December 2008 lows.
Despite declining asset performance, most senior level bonds continue to perform as expected. Fitch has upgraded 20 classes of notes through Sept. 30 of this year, compared to 27 through the same period in 2008.
Fitch's indexes track the performance of over 100 transactions totaling $52.5 billion worth of prime and subprime auto ABS. Prime loans compose 78 percent, and subprime loans the remaining 22 percent.
More Auto Finance

First-Quarter Sees Long Auto Loan Growth
Experian data show more consumers are tapping the method, along with refinancings, to afford buying. Meanwhile, subprime borrowers are getting more access.
Read More →
Mastering Credit Friction
In this video, Josh Krach explains how to turn credit friction into an advantage.
Read More →
April Less Affordable
Based on prices, reduced incentives and slower household income growth, consumers found it more challenging to buy new last month, Cox Automotive reported.
Read More →
Auto Lenders, Consumers on a Tightrope
April borrowing data shows that more consumers are bending over backward to buy vehicles, though subprime lending cooled off for the month.
Read More →
Toyota Financial Services President Replaced
Scott Cooke has served in various roles with Toyota Financial Services for over 20 years, including president and CEO, which he retires from on June 30.
Read More →
Permission or Approval: When to Notify Finance Sources
Credit card down payments, multiple vehicle purchases and even straw purchases can be completed without committing bank fraud, as long as you tell the bank first.
Read More →
At-Risk Auto Borrowers Drive Looser Credit Access
Cox Automotive’s index shows the subprime segment, long loan terms, negative-equity borrowers and down payment amounts all grew in February despite ever-higher vehicle prices.
Read More →
Auto Loan Forecast Bucks Market Trend
Auto loan originations rose over 6% year-over-year in the third quarter of 2025, but TransUnion predicts a slight decline in auto loan growth this year, making it an outlier in the company's overall lending forecast.
Read More →
Auto Credit More Plentiful
Growing access shows greater lender appetite for risk as consumers take on heavier debt burden in an inflated market.
Read More →
Auto Loans Long as Stretch Limos
More consumers, faced with ever-rising car prices, are adapting by agreeing to longer loan terms despite the cost of added interest payments.
Read More →