Vehicle Depreciation Accelerates Heading Into Q4
A steep decline in Crossover/SUV wholesale values, which have been strong all year, may point to more than seasonality as the reason for the accelerated depreciation of two-year-old vehicles, Black Book said this week.
LAWRENCEVILLE, Ga. — A steep decline in Crossover/SUV wholesale values, which have been strong all year, may point to more than seasonality as the reason for higher depreciation recorded for two-year-old vehicles last week, Black Book said this week.
This week’s Black Book Market Insights report show a greater weakening in pricing on vehicles in both car and truck segments heading into the fourth quarter, which is typical this time of year. What caught the firm’s eye, however, was that most crossover/SUV segments showed the highest value declines last week, with the full-size crossover/SUV segment leading the way with a 1.12% drop.
“Typical seasonality trend of the higher depreciation in the fourth quarter continue,” noted Anil Goyal, senior vice president of automotive valuation and analytics for Black Book. “Crossover/SUV values, which have been strong all year, are also starting to see steeper declines.”
Volume weighted, overall car segment values decreased 0.80%, which was higher than the depreciation rate of 0.69% seen in the previous four weeks. Leading the way were the mid-size and sporty car segments, which decline by 1.20% and 0.88%, respectively, last week.
The overall truck segment values, including pickup, SUVs, and vans, decreased by 0.76%, which was higher than the depreciation rate of 0.57% seen in the previous four weeks.
Past seasonality trends, according to Black Book, show that vehicle depreciation is typically highest in the fourth quarter. This year is looking to be no different, except that retention values are lower this year than what was recorded the previous four years.
More Auto Finance

July Was Hot for Auto Borrowers
Credit proved readily available for many, but most loans left buyers in negative territory, Cox Automotive said.
Read More →
Dealer Lender Preferences Revealed
When lenders provide consistent, fast service, their overall satisfaction scores with dealers greatly improve, according to JD Power research.
Read More →
Auto Refi Savings Surge
Consumers with 84-month auto loan terms who refinanced saved the most on monthly payments, according to a new report by auto refinancing provider Caribou.
Read More →
Subaru Enters Lending Business
The automaker follows other brands in adding captive financing in the U.S., and says the move will strengthen its position here.
Read More →
Positive Equity Reaches Record High
Mainstream vehicle owners who bought a car seven years ago are likely to have positive equity when trading in for a new vehicle, according to second-quarter Edmunds data.
Read More →
Dealerships Are Paying the Price for Extended Car Loans
Growing negative-equity scenarios mean such lengthy terms should be addressed in a forward-looking way to make them work for the dealer and the consumer down the road.
Read More →
Trade-Ins in Negative Equity Reach New Heights
As such trade-ins rise in frequency, so do monthly loan payment amounts and interest rates, according to second-quarter data compiled by Edmunds.
Read More →
Auto Credit Plentiful
June numbers show lenders are readily granting access, including to risky borrowers, as consumers leverage themselves to take on high prices.
Read More →
Automotive Consumers Sink Further in Debt
Most financing metrics hit records in the second quarter as more buyers locked themselves into long terms and high monthly payments.
Read More →
Porsche Financial Services Shifts Structure
After 36 years with Porsche, the Financial Services Chief Financial Officer Konrad Riedl is retiring, and the department is realigning its management structure.
Read More →