Consumer Credit Risk Declines for Seventh Straight Quarter, TransUnion Reports
TransUnion’s Credit Risk Index declined for the seventh consecutive quarter, which the credit reporting agency partially attributed to low demand for credit. The one bright spot was demand for auto credit.
CHICAGO — TransUnion’s Credit Risk Index declined for the seventh consecutive quarter, as consumers continued to pay off debt and maintained relatively lower delinquency levels. The CRI for the U.S. market decreased 4.9 percent from a year ago to 120.62.
"The lengthy, broad and steady decline in the Credit Risk Index, which reflects declines in consumer delinquency and debt levels, is beginning to show signs of a potential slow down," said Chet Wiermanski, global chief scientist at TransUnion. "Recent small increases in consumer delinquency across all major categories coupled with slight increases in the use of existing credit cards and demand for new credit may contribute to a deceleration in the decline of the CRI over the next several quarters."
For the past several quarters, there has been increased lending activity among banks and finance companies across several revolving and installment loan categories, according to TransUnion's trend data. "Increases in the percentage of consumers with new accounts with generally higher credit limits, coupled with lower utilization rates for revolving account types reflect a healthier balance of risk," Wiermanski said.
The 61 basis point quarterly decrease (120.62 from 121.22) at the national level was the smallest decline since the CRI peaked in the four quarter of 2009. The decline places the CRI at a level not witnessed in the United States since the third quarter of 2008. The Index has declined by 905 basis points or 6.98 percent since reaching its peak of 129.67 during the fourth quarter of 2009.
As for consumer demand for credit, TransUnion's Total Inquiry Index showed an slight increase of 0.7 percent in the third quarter from the previous year. Although the change in the TII indicated that demand for total credit remains low, an annual increase of 10 percent for auto credit during the third quarter of 2011 is encouraging.
"Lenders are making new credit available to an increasing percentage of consumers, who, in turn, are conservative with their use of it," Wiermanski said. “Continued responsible use and repayment of credit by consumers during the rest of 2011 should modestly improve the CRI to levels witnessed just prior to the early stages of the credit and mortgage crisis."
More Auto Finance

First-Quarter Sees Long Auto Loan Growth
Experian data show more consumers are tapping the method, along with refinancings, to afford buying. Meanwhile, subprime borrowers are getting more access.
Read More →
Mastering Credit Friction
In this video, Josh Krach explains how to turn credit friction into an advantage.
Read More →
April Less Affordable
Based on prices, reduced incentives and slower household income growth, consumers found it more challenging to buy new last month, Cox Automotive reported.
Read More →
Auto Lenders, Consumers on a Tightrope
April borrowing data shows that more consumers are bending over backward to buy vehicles, though subprime lending cooled off for the month.
Read More →
Toyota Financial Services President Replaced
Scott Cooke has served in various roles with Toyota Financial Services for over 20 years, including president and CEO, which he retires from on June 30.
Read More →
Permission or Approval: When to Notify Finance Sources
Credit card down payments, multiple vehicle purchases and even straw purchases can be completed without committing bank fraud, as long as you tell the bank first.
Read More →
At-Risk Auto Borrowers Drive Looser Credit Access
Cox Automotive’s index shows the subprime segment, long loan terms, negative-equity borrowers and down payment amounts all grew in February despite ever-higher vehicle prices.
Read More →
Auto Loan Forecast Bucks Market Trend
Auto loan originations rose over 6% year-over-year in the third quarter of 2025, but TransUnion predicts a slight decline in auto loan growth this year, making it an outlier in the company's overall lending forecast.
Read More →
Auto Credit More Plentiful
Growing access shows greater lender appetite for risk as consumers take on heavier debt burden in an inflated market.
Read More →
Auto Loans Long as Stretch Limos
More consumers, faced with ever-rising car prices, are adapting by agreeing to longer loan terms despite the cost of added interest payments.
Read More →