FI showroom red and grey logo
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Year-to-Date Auto Sales Holding Their Own

A forecast through August shows that automakers have shifted strategies to keep deliveries and revenues up despite tariffs and other economic challenges.

October 1, 2026
Door handle in interior of new-looking vehicle

Smaller-size vehicles are hard to come by as automakers emphasize higher-margin models due to tariff costs and other factors.

Credit:

Pexels/Erik McIean

2 min to read


Automakers have exercised a mix of methods to keep sales and revenue steady despite the year’s economic volatility, the full-year deliveries outlook according to forecaster JD Power on track to be nearly in line with 2025 numbers.

Brands have emphasized production of more profitable segments made in the U.S. and therefore less affected by tariffs, keeping prices up and only modestly increasing incentives. So while sales have been down, transaction prices have increased, according to the report.

Ad Loading...

“The industry has exercised extreme discipline, and it is paying off,” JD Power said.

The company’s analysts put August’s annual retail sales pace at about 13.6 million units, or 30,000 units behind last year’s results.

Production of large SUVs, large light-duty pickups, midsize SUVs and midsize cars have all been up this year along with their sales, according to the report.

Through August, the average retail transaction price inclusive of incentives, has consequently grown about 2%, the data provider estimated, or an extra $172 per unit. It projects that prices will reach between $46,600 and $46,900 by the end of the year.

The emphasis on higher-margin vehicles has left in-demand segments of fuel-efficient models in short supply, JD Power said. Those include compact cars and SUVs, whose days’ supply has fallen to 36 and 44, respectively.

Ad Loading...

Smaller-vehicle production, already at thin margins for automakers, has fallen further due to the tariffs hit, said Senior Vice President of OEM Customer Success Tyson Jominy.

Hybrid inventory, meanwhile, has waned as consumers clamor for better fuel efficiency amid high gas prices, at 29 days’ supply, down 11 days from a year earlier.

The shifts this year have resulted in a much greater share of retail sales in models with fewer than 30 days’ supply, at 21% compared to 17% last year – in 2019 it was 2%.

More Showroom

Gray Toyota SUV.
Showroom•by Hannah Mitchell•November 11, 2026

Auto Transaction Prices Hit New Height

October sales of big, pricey models push up the average, even as budget-conscious consumers snag more economical options.

Read More →
Two women in car, one driver and one passenger. View of windshield and road ahead.
Showroom•by Lauren Lawrence•November 4, 2026

Making the Safe Choice

Kelley Blue Book has turned households with teen drivers onto safe and affordable options for their vehicles of choice

Read More →
The front of a red Audi SUV parked between two black cars.
Showroom•by Lauren Lawrence•November 2, 2026

Inventory Holds Steady

September new-vehicle inventory rose slightly month-over-month, but dealer lots are laden with MY2026 vehicles as the typical model year changeover trudges along.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Two Mercedes key fobs on a key chain
Showroom•by Hannah Mitchell•October 26, 2026

October Auto Sales Fall With the Leaves

A forecast anticipates retail deliveries are down this month as consumers continue to face cost challenges, though more are tapping long loans in order to buy.

Read More →
Green road sign that says California Ave
Showroom•by Lauren Lawrence•October 21, 2026

California Sees Quarterly Gains

California’s new-vehicle market saw a boost in hybrids in the third quarter and its first overall quarterly market gain of the year.

Read More →
Silver Subaru STI parked in lot.
Showroom•by Lauren Lawrence•October 14, 2026

New-Vehicle Prices Stay Put

Affordability pressures and model availability shaped new-vehicle sales in September, according to an analysis by Kelley Blue Book.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
White electric vehicle parked at charging station.
Showroom•by Lauren Lawrence•October 12, 2026

EV Buyer Consideration Shifts

What drives American consumers to purchase an electric vehicle is shifting as the question moves away from Should I?' to 'Which features and experience do I want to have?'

Read More →
Interior of BMW ix3 electric SUV with hilly landscape seen through windshield
Showroom•by Hannah Mitchell•September 28, 2026

Slow to Robo

Ten years of polling consumers shows autonomous vehicles’ profiles have risen considerably, but even more people now want at least some level of control if they go that route.

Read More →
Photo of red SUV parked outside a car dealership after dark
Showroom•by Hannah Mitchell•September 9, 2026

Dealers a Little Down

A third-quarter Cox Automotive survey finds them in a mixed mood, bummed by fallen customer traffic but encouraged by better profits, costs and EV interest.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Silver car driving down road with graphic that says “Europe Plugs In”
Showroom•by Lauren Lawrence•September 9, 2026

European EV Sales Skyrocket

The EV market on the continent held strong in July with almost 25% of new-car sales being fully electric units, a stark contrast to the U.S., where EV sales declined about 42%.

Read More →