The forecast shows that residuals on an average three-year-old vehicle will dip from the current three-year retention of 52% in 2016 to 47.8% by 2019. Increased used supply in the marketplace is the main culprit of slipping retention rates this year, the firm said.
Land Rover and Toyota earned top honors during ALG's 15th annual Residual Value Awards, which looks at 26 vehicle segments and forecasts which will retain the highest percentage of MSRP value after three years.
An excessive supply of used vehicles hitting dealer lots is expected to drive prices down and cause a chain reaction that could raise monthly payments and lower trade-in values.
CNW Research issued a warning this week, reporting that lease contracts have been overestimating residual values by roughly 14 percent in 2013. The firm expects automakers to lose between $5 billion and $8 billion within three years.
Honda and Acura were the big winners, but the Cadillac ATS made big gains in ALG's Canadian Residual Value Awards.
Residuals on U.S. auto lease ABS are still producing substantial gains vs. initial forecasts through third quarter 2011, according to the latest index results from Fitch Ratings.
CAR-Research XRM announced the launch of a new program that can deliver lease rates, residuals, manufacturer incentives and rebates in real time.
ALG’s Eric Lyman talks to the magazine about the potential pricing bubble looming over the used-vehicle market in this exclusive interview with F&I and Showroom magazine.
The recent Japan disaster could result in a nearly 10 percent jump in new-vehicle pricing for some key models, among other effects to the automotive industry, according to a new report by ALG, a subsidiary of DealerTrack Holdings Inc.
Honda and Lexus took home the top prizes in Edmunds.com’s inaugural Best Retained Value Awards, which recognize the brands and new-car models that have the highest projected residual value after five years.
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