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Black Book Used Vehicle Retention Index Sees Largest Decline Ever in April

April saw the largest drop (-7.9 points) since the Index’s inception in 2005.

May 7, 2020
Black Book Used Vehicle Retention Index Sees Largest Decline Ever in April

April saw the largest drop (-7.9 points) since the Index’s inception in 2005.

Image by Jan-Marco Gessinger from Pixabay 

2 min to read


LAWRENCEVILLE, Ga. – Black Book, a division of Hearst that provides industry-leading used vehicle valuation and residual value forecast solutions, released its Used Vehicle Retention Index for April 2020 (114.6), a -7.9 point change from March (114.6). Click here to obtain a copy of the latest index data. “

Compact Cars and Compact SUVs led the decline with record drops due to continuing decreases in gasoline prices.,” said Alex Yurchenko, Senior Vice President, Data Science. “On the other hand, the SUV/Crossover segments finished the month especially strong due to low fuel prices. Due to changing economic conditions, we do not expect this strength to continue, and we project a drop in values in April” 

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The Black Book Used Vehicle Retention Index is calculated using Black Book’s published Wholesale Average value on two- to six-year-old used vehicles, as percent of original typically-equipped MSRP. It is weighted based on registration volume and adjusted for seasonality, vehicle age, mileage, and condition.

The Index offers an accurate, representative, and unbiased view of the strength of today’s used vehicle market values. The Index dates to January 2005, where Black Book published a benchmark index value of 100.0 for the market. During 2008, the index dropped by 14.1% while during 2016, the index fell by just 6.4%. During 2011, the index rose strongly from 113.3 to 123.0 by the end of the year as the economy picked up steam and used vehicle values rose higher. It continued to remain relatively stable, rising slightly until May of 2014 when it hit a peak of 128.1. 

To obtain a copy of the latest Black Book Wholesale Value Index, please click here

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